Ok, So Lacrosse Teams Need Both Offense and Defense…

To no surprise of anyone, it turns out being a solely offensive or defensive team isn’t really the best way to win games. It is important for a team to be balanced on both sides of the ball. Score a lot of goals, but be difficult to score on. Be a wall at the back, but score a few yourself. Seems obvious enough. After working on both my offensive and defensive scoring systems, I figured I would see what happens when the two statistics are combined into one lump total score. Always one for creative, I labeled this new score the Nelli Total Score. Based on my previous two experiments, it appeared as though a great offense had a better correlation to winning than a great defense (68% correlation to 51% correlation). However, being a balanced team with a good offense and defense statistically (and logically) appears to be significantly better than unbalanced in either direction. In fact, the Nelli Total Score has an 88% correlation with winning. So without further ado, here are the Nelli Total Scores for every Division I program this season.

Nelli Total Rank Team Nelli Offense Score Nelli Defensive Score Nelli Total Score
1 Loyola Maryland 45.00 64.65 109.65
2 Maryland 42.00 65.31 107.32
3 Denver 46.55 60.63 107.17
4 North Carolina 45.01 61.15 106.15
5 Albany (NY) 46.85 58.19 105.05
6 Duke 44.98 59.72 104.70
7 Bryant 39.53 64.87 104.40
8 Johns Hopkins 42.06 61.94 104.00
9 Fairfield 43.52 59.24 102.77
10 Lehigh 38.51 64.18 102.69
11 Cornell 42.38 59.66 102.05
12 Army 39.60 61.92 101.52
13 Saint Joseph’s 39.90 61.62 101.51
14 Air Force 42.12 58.16 100.28
15 Penn St. 40.07 59.91 99.98
16 Syracuse 45.45 54.52 99.97
17 Drexel 40.78 58.94 99.72
18 Virginia 43.58 56.07 99.65
19 Yale 38.99 60.04 99.03
20 Notre Dame 42.02 56.64 98.65
21 High Point 37.13 61.49 98.62
22 Harvard 39.26 58.92 98.19
23 Princeton 42.26 55.89 98.15
24 Penn 36.69 61.30 97.98
25 Hofstra 40.09 57.87 97.95
26 Rutgers 41.58 56.27 97.85
27 Delaware 37.62 59.31 96.93
28 UMBC 43.03 53.88 96.90
29 Siena 38.31 58.58 96.89
30 Quinnipiac 37.88 57.92 95.80
31 Massachusetts 38.90 56.85 95.75
32 St. John’s (NY) 41.39 54.30 95.69
33 Navy 36.51 59.03 95.54
34 Ohio St. 37.20 58.24 95.44
35 Bellarmine 35.44 59.88 95.32
36 Brown 36.99 58.29 95.28
37 Detroit 33.78 61.43 95.21
38 Colgate 36.04 59.07 95.11
39 Marist 41.43 53.60 95.03
40 Bucknell 35.39 59.47 94.85
41 Hartford 37.35 57.38 94.73
42 Canisius 37.13 56.98 94.11
43 Stony Brook 43.39 50.48 93.87
44 Binghamton 39.35 54.47 93.82
45 Mercer 37.44 56.36 93.80
46 Villanova 36.09 57.49 93.59
47 Sacred Heart 36.71 55.68 92.38
48 Vermont 34.39 57.89 92.28
49 Towson 36.75 55.18 91.92
50 Hobart 36.08 55.69 91.77
51 Georgetown 36.15 55.14 91.29
52 Richmond 33.75 56.88 90.63
53 Jacksonville 35.59 54.96 90.55
54 Robert Morris 34.99 55.02 90.01
55 Michigan 36.91 52.88 89.79
56 Providence 33.59 56.06 89.64
57 Marquette 38.41 50.84 89.25
58 Boston U. 30.81 57.39 88.20
59 Manhattan 31.47 55.63 87.10
60 Holy Cross 35.99 50.34 86.33
61 Dartmouth 31.77 52.86 84.63
62 Wagner 29.67 54.38 84.06
63 Monmouth 28.19 55.13 83.32
64 Lafayette 29.74 52.80 82.54
65 VMI 28.49 53.30 81.79
66 Mt. St. Mary’s 27.79 53.86 81.65
67 Furman 31.44 50.03 81.46

 

And my linear regression:

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